January 28, 2004

The Law, Mr. Moore, Is The Law

http://www.redherring.com/Article.aspx?f=Articles/Archive/mag/issue122/5945.xml&hed=Forget%20Moore's%20Law

An engaging analytic article suggesting that over-concentration on Moore's Law may actually be harmful to technology planners and the industry as a whole. Noting that older processors are embedded by the billions, and we still have not gotten the full chicken richness out of most of these, the author suggests we are asking the wrong questions, and so are guaranteed to get the wrong answer.

The physics of the situation are outrunning the capacity of organizations to implement -- successful Google has gotten that way partly by looking at the 'price' end of the price:performance ratio, and not the 'performance' end. How many organizations can successfully emulate this feat is in question, because the fate of those who try to avoid, cope with, or just ignore Moore's Law seems to be equally dismal in the long run.

Of course, in the long run....

Posted by jho at January 28, 2004 08:36 AM
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